Which one is more profitable, long-term holding or short-term trading?
Jul 04, 2025 pm 11:12 PM
【Authoritative Recommendation】2025 mainstream digital currency trading platform collection
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Binance
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Ouyi OKX ?
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Which one is more profitable, long-term holding or short-term trading? ——Comprehensive analysis of strategy differences
As an asset with extremely high volatility, Bitcoin (BTC) can be divided into two main paths: long-term holding (HODL) and short-term trading. Different trading styles correspond to different returns logic and risk tolerance. Understanding their differences will help build a more scientific investment portfolio .
1. Features of long-term holding strategy (HODL)
- Core concept : Believe in Bitcoin’s long-term value and scarcity attributes, and obtain capital appreciation through cross-cycle holding.
- There is no need for frequent operations to reduce human judgment errors, and is suitable for investors who do not have time to watch the market.
- Avoid short-term fluctuations : Avoid chasing highs and selling downs in severe markets, with less emotional interference.
- Historical data shows that from 2011 to 2025, the average annualized rate of return on long-term holdings was significantly higher than most short-term band operations.
- Suitable for faith-based users , if you are firmly optimistic about BTC, you will gradually become an investor in "digital gold".
2. Characteristics of short-term trading strategies
- Leading with technical analysis and market sentiment , the goal is to frequently obtain profits during price fluctuations.
- Strategies include intraday bands, news-driven trading, order-subsidized robots and other forms.
- You need to master common analysis tools such as K-line charts, MACD, RSI, Bollinger bands, etc.
- It has high flexibility : it can flexibly enter and exit when the market fluctuates, improving the efficiency of capital use.
- However, high-frequency operations are also prone to loss of handling fees and emotional interference, and the risk of loss increases.
3. Comparison from the perspective of returns
- Long-term holding : It is more suitable for large-cycle bull markets, avoiding the accumulated costs caused by high-frequency trading, and stable returns but long cycles .
- Short-term trading : You can quickly arbitrage in a volatile market or during periods of severe market fluctuations, but you need to accurately judge the in and out points, otherwise you will easily miss the main upward wave .
- Data shows that in the bull market from 2020 to 2021, long-term holders generally achieved more than 3 times the returns , while about 35% of short-term users suffered frequent stop loss losses.
4. Suitable for different types of investors
- Long-term holding : suitable for investors with low risk preference, idle funds, and pursuing stable returns.
- Short-term trading : suitable for active users with rich trading experience, familiar with technical analysis, and able to withstand greater risks.
- Some mature users will also adopt a mixed strategy , such as long-term holdings, and some positions will sell high and buy low.
Overall, the two methods have their own advantages and disadvantages. Long-term holding is suitable for those who are determined in value and patiently wait for assets to appreciate; short-term trading is more suitable for traders who value efficiency and band opportunities . Investors can flexibly choose based on fund size, risk preference and market environment.
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